Elementary Probability Theory Assessment Item Responses

items_probability_part_one_full

items_probability_part_one_reduced

Format

An object of class matrix (inherits from array) with 504 rows and 12 columns.

An object of class matrix (inherits from array) with 431 rows and 12 columns.

Details

Questions wording and answers are from the pks package documentation.

Items with their desired responses bolded:

  • b101: A box contains 30 marbles in the following colors: 8 red, 10 black, 12 yellow. What is the probability that a randomly drawn marble is yellow? (0.40)

  • b102: A bag contains 5-cent, 10-cent, and 20-cent coins. The probability of drawing a 5-cent coin is 0.35, that of drawing a 10-cent coin is 0.25, and that of drawing a 20-cent coin is 0.40. What is the probability that the coin randomly drawn is not a 5-cent coin? (0.65)

  • b103: A bag contains 5-cent, 10-cent, and 20-cent coins. The probability of drawing a 5-cent coin is 0.20, that of drawing a 10-cent coin is 0.45, and that of drawing a 20-cent coin is 0.35. What is the probability that the coin randomly drawn is a 5-cent coin or a 20-cent coin? (0.55)

  • b104: In a school, 40\ the pupils are right-handed. Suppose that gender and handedness are independent. What is the probability of randomly selecting a right-handed boy? (0.32)

  • b105: Given a standard deck containing 32 different cards, what is the probability of not drawing a heart? (0.75)

  • b106: A box contains 20 marbles in the following colors: 4 white, 14 green, 2 red. What is the probability that a randomly drawn marble is not white? (0.80)

  • b107: A box contains 10 marbles in the following colors: 2 yellow, 5 blue, 3 red. What is the probability that a randomly drawn marble is yellow or blue? (0.70)

  • b108: What is the probability of obtaining an even number by throwing a dice? (0.50)

  • b109: Given a standard deck containing 32 different cards, what is the probability of drawing a 4 in a black suit? (Responses that round to 0.06 were considered correct.)

  • b110: A box contains marbles that are red or yellow, small or large. The probability of drawing a red marble is 0.70 (lab: 0.30), the probability of drawing a small marble is 0.40. Suppose that the color of the marbles is independent of their size. What is the probability of randomly drawing a small marble that is not red? (0.12, lab: 0.28)

  • b111: In a garage there are 50 cars. 20 are black and 10 are diesel powered. Suppose that the color of the cars is independent of the kind of fuel. What is the probability that a randomly selected car is not black and it is diesel powered? (0.12)

  • b112: A box contains 20 marbles. 10 marbles are red, 6 are yellow and 4 are black. 12 marbles are small and 8 are large. Suppose that the color of the marbles is independent of their size. What is the probability of randomly drawing a small marble that is yellow or red? (0.48)

Data Cleaning

The items_probability_part_one_full data set includes \(N = 504\) observations used in Chen et al. (2021). However, the observations contained missing trial data as NA. Excluding the missing response values from part one respondents yields \(N = 431\). The data set with reduced items is given in items_probability_part_one_reduced.

References

Data originated from:

  • Heller, J., & Wickelmaier, F. (2013). Minimum discrepancy estimation in probabilistic knowledge structures. Electronic Notes in Discrete Mathematics, 42, 49–56. doi: 10.1016/j.endm.2013.05.145

Data used in:

  • Chen, Yinghan, Liu, Y., Culpepper, S. A., & Chen, Y. (2021). Inferring the number of attributes for the exploratory DINA model. Psychometrika, 86(1), 30–64. doi: 10.1007/s11336-021-09750-9